Football statistics and filters
Each filter scans today's matches using form, head-to-head, standings and odds, and shows ✓/✗ when the match ends.
💎 Best stats
The strongest stat of each match. We check 10 picks (Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Under 3.5, Under 4.5, Both teams score, 1st/2nd-half goal, half-time Under 2.5, home/away team scores) over the last 10 games of EACH team and their head-to-head. Only what hit 100%+ everywhere stays, and the best one is shown. 100% = it never failed. It also says which other filters pick the same match.
MyBet pick
For each match, the bet that came in at least 100% of the time: in both teams' form (last 10) and their head-to-head (last 5, when there are ≥3). It is history, not a guarantee.
More 1X
The home team did not lose (1 or X) in at least 4 of its last 6 home matches, and did not lose in the head-to-head either (last 5 meetings, same strictness, ≥3 needed). ✓ when the home team does not lose.
Home teams %
Home teams with Wins in at least 90% of their last 10 home matches, and the same in the head-to-head (last 5 meetings, ≥3 needed). ✓ when it happens again.
Over 1.5 🔥
Both teams 6/6 Over 1.5. Head-to-head at home: all their meetings at this home ground (last 5, ≥3 needed) had Over 1.5. ✓ when the match has 2+ goals.
Poisson Over 1.5
Poisson model with the Dixon-Coles correction (rho = −0.13). Each team's expected goals (λ) are a weighted mix of season averages, the last 10 home/away, the last 5 and the head-to-head. Shows matches with Over 1.5 at 85% or more. ✓ when the match has 2+ goals.
Scores & concedes
The home team scored AND conceded in each of its last 5 matches, and so did the away team in its last 5 (10/10 with goals at both ends). Pick: Over 1.5 — ✓ when the match has 2+ goals.
2nd-half goal
A goal in the 2nd half in at least 5 of the home team's last 5 home matches, and at the same rate in their last 5 meetings (≥3 needed). ✓ as soon as there is a 2nd-half goal.
Under 4.5
At most 4 goals at full time in at least 5 of the home team's last 5 home matches, and at the same rate in their last 3 meetings. ✓ when the match ends with 4 goals or fewer.
Summary
A short summary of each match: head-to-head history (last 5 meetings) and form (each team's last 10 matches). ★ means form and history point the same way.
Streaks
Teams on a streak: Both teams scored in at least 3 matches in a row (all competitions). ✓ shows the streak continued in this match.
Strong vs weak
One of the top 3 teams in the table plays one of the bottom 3.
Top attack vs poor defence
One of the league's 3 best attacks plays one of its 3 worst defences.
Attacks > 1.5
At least one team scores more than 1.5 goals per game on average.
Attacks > 1.5 · Over 1.5
Both teams score more than 1.8 goals a game (from the table). Pick Over 1.5: right if 2 or more goals go in.
Defences > 1.5
At least one team concedes more than 1.5 goals per game on average.
Attack > 1.5 vs defence > 1.5
A team scoring more than 1.5 per game plays a team conceding more than 1.5.
Half-time Under 2.5
The home team in its last 5 home matches and the away team in its last 5 away matches had fewer than 3 first-half goals in at least 4 of them.
Home favourite goals
The home team is the favourite (at least 0.5 more points per game) and scored more than 0.5 goals in at least 7 of its last 10 home matches.
0–4 goals
The home team's matches had 0 to 4 total goals in at least 10 of its last 10 home matches against all opponents. The same holds for the two teams' recent head-to-head meetings, when there are at least 3.
1–5 goals
The home team's matches had 1 to 5 total goals in at least 10 of its last 10 home matches against all opponents. The same holds for the two teams' recent head-to-head meetings, when there are at least 3.
2–3 goals
The home team's matches had 2 to 3 total goals in at least 10 of its last 10 home matches against all opponents. The same holds for the two teams' recent head-to-head meetings, when there are at least 3.
Prediction %
Attack and defence strength of both teams (last 10 home/away) give probabilities for 1-X-2, Over 2.5, both teams to score and the most likely score. Shown when one of 1-X-2 is 55% or more.
Value bets
Our 1-X-2 probability is compared with the odds. Value means the odds pay at least 8% more than they should. Not a guarantee; it is long-run logic.
Odds moves
Opening price and price now, for 1X2, Over/Under, both teams to score and double chance. 🟢▼ = dropping (money on it), 🔴▲ = drifting. Updated hourly and sent to Telegram.
Draw candidates
Both teams drew at least 3 of their last 10, with few goals (average up to 2.5).
More X2
The away team did not lose at least 4 of its last 6 away games, and the head-to-head agrees.
No draw (12)
Both teams drew at most 1 of their last 10.
Win by 2+
The home team won by 2+ in at least half of its last 8 home games, and the away team lost by 2+ in at least 3 of its last 8 away.
No Goal
The home team kept a clean sheet in at least half of its last 8 home games, and the away team failed to score in at least 3 of its last 8 away.
Half-time/Full-time 1/1
The home team led at half-time and won in at least half of its last 8 home games; the away team trailed and lost in at least 3 of its last 8 away.
1st-half goal
A goal before half-time in at least 7 of the home team's last 8 home games and 7 of the away team's last 8 away.
Home Over 1.5
The home team scored 2+ in at least 5 of its last 8 home games, and the away team conceded 2+ in at least 4 of its last 8 away.
Form: up vs down
The home team took 12+ points from its last 5 games, the away team 4 or fewer.
Top 10 odds moves
The 10 matches of the day whose odds dropped the most (8% or more) from the opening price. A price that drops a lot is being backed a lot. Right if the dropped pick wins.
xG Over 2.5
From the expected goals (xG) of the last 6 games, the two teams add up to 3+ goals. All leagues: where there is no official xG, we estimate it from the shots (inside/outside the box, on target).
Goal time 76-90'
A goal in minutes 76-90 in 5+ of the last 8 games of both teams. Pick the 15 minutes (e.g. 76-90 = goal after 75').
Corners Over 9.5
In the last 8 games of each team, corners went over 9.5 60% of the time or more, averaging at least 10.5.
Cards Over 4.5
In the last 8 games of each team, cards (yellow and red) went over 4.5 60% of the time or more. Shows the referee when known.
Strict referee
The referee shows 5+ cards per game on average, over at least 4 games we have. Right when cards go over 4.5.
Clean sheet
A team kept a clean sheet in 5+ of its last 8 (home or away, as it plays now) and the opponent failed to score in 3+ of 8.
Fails to score
A team failed to score in 4+ of its last 8 games and scores under 0.9 goals per game.
Goals in both halves
Goals in both the 1st and the 2nd half in 6+ of the last 8 games of both teams.
Scores first
The team scored the first goal in 6+ of its last 8, and the opponent conceded first in 4+ of 8.
More goals in 2nd half
The 2nd half had more goals than the 1st in 5+ of the last 8 games of both teams.
Frequent score
The same score came up in 28%+ of the two teams' last games and their meetings (at least 5 times).
Live pressure
Live games where a team that is not winning has 70%+ of the shots, shots on target and corners of the last 10 minutes. Right if it scores after.
Scorer in form
A player who scored in 3+ of his team's last 5 games. Right if he scores again.