Over 1.5 + Poisson tomorrow: Ulaangom City v Khovd at 98%

1. Ulaangom City – Khovd (Premier League, 10:00)

Home λ 2.33 | away λ 3.50 | expected goals 5.82. Over 1.5: 98% | Over 2.5: 93% | BTTS: 88%. Ulaangom City 1.1 goals/game at home, Khovd 2.8 away (last 10). Season: 0.8-2.8 / 3.8-4.0 for-against. H2H average 6.3 goals (3 games). Most likely score 2-3.

2. Erchim – Khovd Western (Premier League, 07:00)

Home λ 2.63 | away λ 2.78 | expected goals 5.41. Over 1.5: 98% | Over 2.5: 91% | BTTS: 87%. Erchim 1.6 goals/game at home, Khovd Western 2.1 away (last 10). Season: 2.0-3.6 / 2.0-4.4 for-against. Most likely score 2-2.

3. Guerreros – Guerreros del Pacifico (Liga Premier Serie A, 00:00)

Home λ 2.38 | away λ 1.86 | expected goals 4.24. Over 1.5: 93% | Over 2.5: 79% | BTTS: 77%. Guerreros 1.9 goals/game at home, Guerreros del Pacifico 2.2 away (last 10). Season: 2.5-1.5 / 2.2-2.7 for-against. Most likely score 2-1.

4. Coventry City U21 – Queens Park Rangers U21 (Professional Development League, 15:00)

Home λ 2.68 | away λ 1.45 | expected goals 4.13. Over 1.5: 93% | Over 2.5: 78% | BTTS: 72%. Coventry City U21 1.6 goals/game at home, Queens Park Rangers U21 1.6 away (last 10). Season: 2.3-1.3 / 1.0-3.4 for-against. H2H average 5.4 goals (5 games). Most likely score 2-1.

5. Middlesbrough U21 – Derby County U21 (Premier League 2 Division One, 21:00)

Home λ 1.90 | away λ 2.03 | expected goals 3.94. Over 1.5: 91% | Over 2.5: 75% | BTTS: 75%. Middlesbrough U21 2.1 goals/game at home, Derby County U21 1.9 away (last 10). Season: 1.7-2.3 / 2.7-1.7 for-against. H2H average 3.0 goals (4 games). Most likely score 1-1.

The model is statistical: probabilities, not guarantees. The “Poisson Over 1.5” filter on MyGoal90 shows ✓/✗ when each match ends. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly.