Inter San Carlos v CS Cartagines: analysis and our pick
Primera División · Friday 6 November 01:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Inter San Carlos looking for a response
Inter San Carlos have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–3 home defeat to Escorpiones Belén and a 1–3 away defeat at Puntarenas FC. CS Cartagines have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over San Carlos and a 2–2 away draw with CD Olimpia.
The head-to-head favours CS Cartagines
In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Inter San Carlos, 0 draws, 1 for CS Cartagines, with 4.0 goals a game. Most recently: CS Cartagines 3–1 Inter San Carlos (26 Jul 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 60%. Inter San Carlos score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game, CS Cartagines 1.6 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 1.5 = 3.0 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 82% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Inter San Carlos · 38%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 58%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 82%: the model expects 3.0 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 80%. In 1X2: Inter San Carlos have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 58% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Inter San Carlos — last game: Away to Puntarenas FC (1-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.