Inhulets v Kulykiv: analysis and our pick
Persha Liga · Friday 6 November 11:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Inhulets looking for a response
Inhulets have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Lokomotiv Kyiv and a 2–0 home win over Kolos Kovalivka II. Kulykiv have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over UCSA and a 1–3 away defeat at Nyva Ternopil.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 55%. Inhulets score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game, Kulykiv 1.8 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.7 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 77% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Kulykiv · 37%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 50%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 77%: the model expects 2.7 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 70%. In 1X2: Kulykiv have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 50% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Kulykiv — last game: Against UCSA (2-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.