Hapoel Bnei Musmus v Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: analysis and our pick

Hapoel Bnei Musmus looking for a response

Hapoel Bnei Musmus have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–4 home defeat to Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and a 2–4 away defeat at Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt. Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt and a 5–1 away win at Hapoel Ironi Arraba.

An even head-to-head

In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Hapoel Bnei Musmus, 1 draw, 0 for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 1–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1 Jan 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 0.8 and concede 2.8 a game, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 2.6 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 2.2 = 3.3 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 85% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Maccabi Neve Sha'anan · 60%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 63%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 85%: the model expects 3.3 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 80%. In 1X2: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have the highest probability (60%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan — last game: Against Tira (2-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.