Didube 2014 v Varketili: analysis and our pick

Didube 2014 looking for a response

Didube 2014 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–1 home defeat to Gonio and a 4–4 away draw with FC Iberia 1999 II. Varketili have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at WIT Georgia and a 0–0 away draw with Guria.

The head-to-head favours Varketili

In the last 3 meetings: 0 wins for Didube 2014, 1 draw, 2 for Varketili, with 3.7 goals a game. Most recently: Varketili 5–0 Didube 2014 (21 May 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 50%. Didube 2014 score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game, Varketili 1.2 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 0.9 + 1.7 = 2.6 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 75% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Varketili · 56%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 52%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 75%: the model expects 2.6 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Varketili have the highest probability (56%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 52% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Didube 2014 — last game: Away to FC Iberia 1999 II (4-4) they had 46% of the shots (13 to 15, on target 7-8). From 7 shots on target they scored 4, conceded 4 from 8 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 49% of the shots and 47% of the shots on target. They turn 50% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 63% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 3. Varketili — last game: Away to WIT Georgia (2-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged null% of the shots..