Arka Gdynia U19 v Wisła Kraków U19: analysis and our pick

Arka Gdynia U19 looking for a response

Arka Gdynia U19 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–7 away defeat at Zagłębie Lubin U19 and a 1–0 home win over Polonia Warszawa U19. Wisła Kraków U19 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–3 home draw with Raków Częstochowa U19 and a 2–1 away win at Śląsk Wrocław U19.

The head-to-head favours Arka Gdynia U19

In the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Arka Gdynia U19, 1 draw, 1 for Wisła Kraków U19, with 4.4 goals a game. Most recently: Arka Gdynia U19 3–2 Wisła Kraków U19 (11 May 2025).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 65%. Arka Gdynia U19 score 0.8 and concede 3.2 a game, Wisła Kraków U19 3.0 and 2.8. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 2.0 = 3.7 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 90% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Wisła Kraków U19 · 44%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 72%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 90%: the model expects 3.7 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Wisła Kraków U19 have the highest probability (44%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 72% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Wisła Kraków U19 — last game: Away to Śląsk Wrocław U19 (2-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.