Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa Conference League · tomorrow 19:45 · Olympia. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Borac Banja Luka have a chance to respond
Mjallby AIF have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–0 home draw with Kalmar FF and a 2–1 away win at Orgryte IS. Borac Banja Luka have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 4–2 away win at Čelik and a 2–0 away win at Cazin.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 35%, both teams scored 50%. Mjallby AIF score 0.6 and concede 1.0 a game, Borac Banja Luka 2.2 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 0.9 + 1.7 = 2.6 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 75% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Borac Banja Luka · 55%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 51%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 75%: the model expects 2.6 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 85%. In 1X2: Borac Banja Luka have the highest probability (55%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 51% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Mjallby AIF — last game: Against Kalmar FF (0-0) they had 65% of the shots (15 to 8, on target 2-4) and 51% possession. From 2 shots on target they scored 0, the defence faced 4 shots on target and held (no goals). 30′–45′: under 82% of the pressure → the defence held. 45′–60′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → no goal. 60′–75′: pressed with 70% of the pressure → no goal. Over the last 5 they averaged 47% of the shots and 43% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 20% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 25% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Borac Banja Luka — last game: Away to Čelik (4-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 42% of the shots and 54% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 4). They turn 64% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 33% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 2.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.