Zbrojovka Brno U19 v Teplice U19: analysis and our pick

Zbrojovka Brno U19 looking for a response

Zbrojovka Brno U19 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Slavia Praha U19 and a 1–3 away defeat at Sparta Praha U19. Teplice U19 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–6 home defeat to Viktoria Plzeň U19 and a 1–4 home defeat to Hradec Králové U19.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 90%, both teams scored 55%. Zbrojovka Brno U19 score 1.0 and concede 2.0 a game, Teplice U19 0.6 and 4.4. The Poisson model expects 2.6 + 1.8 = 4.4 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 94% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 54%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 82%). Most likely score: 2–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 94%: the model expects 4.4 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 95%. In 1X2: Zbrojovka Brno U19 have the highest probability (54%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 82% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (7%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Zbrojovka Brno U19 — last game: Against Slavia Praha U19 (1-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..

What the odds say

The biggest moves since the opening: 2 (Teplice U19) 3.00 → 2.80 (-6.7%, backed) · 1 (Zbrojovka Brno U19) 1.80 → 1.91 (+6.1%, drifting) · Double chance X2 1.83 → 1.73 (-5.5%, backed) · X (draw) 4.20 → 4.10 (-2.4%, backed). Careful: the market is backing a different outcome from our pick.