Slavia Sofia II v Bansko: analysis and our pick

Bansko have a chance to respond

Slavia Sofia II have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–2 home defeat to Kyustendil and a 1–1 away draw with Septemvri Simitli. Bansko have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–3 away draw with Kostinbrod and a 2–0 home win over Slivnishki geroy.

The head-to-head favours Bansko

In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Slavia Sofia II, 2 draws, 2 for Bansko, with 2.4 goals a game. Most recently: Bansko 1–1 Slavia Sofia II (14 Mar 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 45%. Slavia Sofia II score 1.0 and concede 2.0 a game, Bansko 2.0 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.4 = 2.8 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 79% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Slavia Sofia II · 37%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 54%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 79%: the model expects 2.8 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 85%. In 1X2: Slavia Sofia II have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 54% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Slavia Sofia II — last game: Against Kyustendil (0-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Bansko — last game: Away to Kostinbrod (3-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.