Rennes v Olympiacos: analysis and our pick
UEFA Europa League · tomorrow 17:30 · Roazhon Park. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Olympiacos have a chance to respond
Rennes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–5 away defeat at Nice and a 3–0 home win over Strasbourg. Olympiacos have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–2 away win at Kifisia and a 2–0 away win at Marko.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 60%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 35%. Rennes score 2.4 and concede 2.4 a game, Olympiacos 2.6 and 0.4. The Poisson model expects 1.2 + 1.6 = 2.9 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 79% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Olympiacos · 46%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 54%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 79%: the model expects 2.9 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 60%. In 1X2: Olympiacos have the highest probability (46%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 54% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Rennes — last game: Away to Nice (2-5) they had 51% of the shots (18 to 17, on target 9-8) and 54% possession. From 9 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 5 from 8 on target. 75′–90′: pressed with 73% of the pressure → no goal. Over the last 5 they averaged 57% of the shots and 57% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 35% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 46% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 3. Olympiacos — last game: Away to Kifisia (3-2) they had 47% of the shots (14 to 16, on target 5-8) and 51% possession. From 5 shots on target they scored 3, conceded 2 from 8 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 61% of the shots and 66% of the shots on target (on top in 3 of 4). They turn 44% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 15% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.