Rakow II v Kluczbork: analysis and our pick
III Liga - Group 3 · today 13:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Rakow II looking for a response
Rakow II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 1–3 home defeat to ROW Rybnik and a 1–3 away defeat at Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. Kluczbork have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–2 home draw with Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and a 2–0 away win at Warta Gorzów.
The head-to-head favours Kluczbork
In the last 1 meetings: 0 wins for Rakow II, 0 draws, 1 for Kluczbork, with 4.0 goals a game. Most recently: Kluczbork 3–1 Rakow II (25 Jul 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 55%. Rakow II score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game, Kluczbork 1.4 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.2 + 1.3 = 2.5 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 74% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Kluczbork · 38%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 54%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 74%: the model expects 2.5 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 80%. In 1X2: Kluczbork have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 54% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Rakow II — last game: Away to Zaglebie Sosnowiec (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Kluczbork — last game: Against Miedź Legnica II (2-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: 2 (Kluczbork) 2.25 → 2.45 (+8.9%, drifting) · 1 (Rakow II) 2.45 → 2.30 (-6.1%, backed) · Double chance 1X 1.53 → 1.44 (-5.9%, backed) · Double chance X2 1.44 → 1.50 (+4.2%, drifting). Careful: the market is backing a different outcome from our pick.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.