Persikad Depok FC v Persiku Kudus: analysis and our pick

Persikad Depok FC looking for a response

Persikad Depok FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with PSIS Semarang and a 2–3 home defeat to PSPS. Persiku Kudus have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, including a 1–3 home defeat to Persiraja Banda Aceh and a 1–2 home defeat to Semen Padang.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 85%, both teams scored 80%. Persikad Depok FC score 1.0 and concede 2.0 a game, Persiku Kudus 1.0 and 3.2. The Poisson model expects 2.1 + 1.4 = 3.6 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 88% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Persikad Depok FC · 53%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 69%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 88%: the model expects 3.6 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 95%. In 1X2: Persikad Depok FC have the highest probability (53%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 69% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Persikad Depok FC — last game: Against Semen Padang (2-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Persiku Kudus — last game: Against Semen Padang (1-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2.