Obolon' Kyiv U19 v Metalist 1925 U19: analysis and our pick
U19 League · today 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Metalist 1925 U19 have a chance to respond
Obolon' Kyiv U19 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–3 away defeat at LNZ Cherkasy U19 and a 1–1 home draw with Shakhtar Donetsk U19. Metalist 1925 U19 have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–3 home draw with Veres Rivne U19 and a 0–0 away draw with Karpaty Lviv U19.
The head-to-head favours Metalist 1925 U19
In the last 4 meetings: 0 wins for Obolon' Kyiv U19, 1 draw, 3 for Metalist 1925 U19, with 2.0 goals a game. Most recently: Obolon' Kyiv U19 0–2 Metalist 1925 U19 (11 Dec 2025).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 60%. Obolon' Kyiv U19 score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game, Metalist 1925 U19 1.8 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 0.9 + 1.3 = 2.2 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 66% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Metalist 1925 U19 · 44%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 63%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 66%: the model expects 2.2 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Metalist 1925 U19 have the highest probability (44%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (15%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Metalist 1925 U19 — last game: Away to Karpaty Lviv U19 (0-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.