Mendiola v Dynamic Herb Cebu: analysis and our pick
PFL · today 11:45. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Dynamic Herb Cebu have a chance to respond
Mendiola have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 5–2 away win at Tuloy and a 1–1 away draw with Azkals. Dynamic Herb Cebu have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 6–0 away win at Tuloy and a 0–2 away defeat at Manila Digger.
The head-to-head favours Dynamic Herb Cebu
In the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Mendiola, 0 draws, 5 for Dynamic Herb Cebu, with 6.0 goals a game. Most recently: Dynamic Herb Cebu 5–0 Mendiola (15 Feb 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 60%. Mendiola score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game, Dynamic Herb Cebu 1.6 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 2.8 = 4.0 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 91% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Dynamic Herb Cebu · 71%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 76%). Most likely score: 1–2.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 91%: the model expects 4.0 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 85%. In 1X2: Dynamic Herb Cebu have the highest probability (71%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 76% from the same lambdas. 1–2 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Mendiola — last game: Away to Azkals (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Dynamic Herb Cebu — last game: Away to Tuloy (6-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
What the odds say
The biggest moves since the opening: Under 2.5 3.00 → 3.75 (+25%, drifting) · 1 (Mendiola) 8.50 → 6.50 (-23.5%, backed) · X (draw) 8.50 → 7.50 (-11.8%, backed) · Over 2.5 1.36 → 1.25 (-8.1%, backed). Careful: the market is backing a different outcome from our pick.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.