Karpaty Lviv U19 v Lviv U19: analysis and our pick

Lviv U19 have a chance to respond

Karpaty Lviv U19 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Kolos Kovalivka U19 and a 0–0 home draw with Metalist 1925 U19. Lviv U19 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over SK Metalurh U19 and a 3–1 away win at Kolos Kovalivka U19.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 55%. Karpaty Lviv U19 score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game, Lviv U19 1.8 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.3 = 3.3 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 85% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Karpaty Lviv U19 · 51%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 85%: the model expects 3.3 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Karpaty Lviv U19 have the highest probability (51%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Karpaty Lviv U19 — last game: Against Metalist 1925 U19 (0-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Lviv U19 — last game: Away to Metalist 1925 U19 (2-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.