Kairat U19 v MTK U19: analysis and our pick
UEFA Youth League · today 11:00 · Kairat Academy. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Kairat U19 in good form
Kairat U19 have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–1 away win at MTK U19 and a 8–1 home win over Mladost DG U19. MTK U19 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–3 home defeat to Kairat U19 and a 0–1 home defeat to Ajax U19.
The head-to-head favours Kairat U19
In the last 1 meetings: 1 win for Kairat U19, 0 draws, 0 for MTK U19, with 4.0 goals a game. Most recently: MTK U19 1–3 Kairat U19 (28 Oct 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 50%. Kairat U19 score 4.0 and concede 0.8 a game, MTK U19 0.8 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.2 = 3.2 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 84% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Kairat U19 · 53%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 61%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 84%: the model expects 3.2 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 80%. In 1X2: Kairat U19 have the highest probability (53%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 61% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.