Iskra v Jedinstvo: analysis and our pick
Second League · today 14:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Iskra looking for a response
Iskra have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Mladost Lješkopolje and a 3–4 home defeat to Mogren. Jedinstvo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Rudar and a 7–0 away win at Grbalj.
The head-to-head favours Jedinstvo
In the last 5 meetings: 0 wins for Iskra, 1 draw, 4 for Jedinstvo, with 2.8 goals a game. Most recently: Jedinstvo 2–0 Iskra (16 Sept 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 35%. Iskra score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game, Jedinstvo 2.8 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 2.1 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 86% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Jedinstvo · 55%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 86%: the model expects 3.3 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Jedinstvo have the highest probability (55%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Iskra — last game: Away to Mladost Lješkopolje (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.