Fethiyespor v Eyupspor: analysis and our pick
Türkiye Kupası · today 12:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Fethiyespor looking for a response
Fethiyespor have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at 1461 Trabzon FK and a 2–2 home draw with Ankaragücü. Eyupspor have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, including a 1–5 away defeat at Amed and a 0–1 home defeat to Kasimpasa.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 50%, both teams scored 35%. Fethiyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game, Eyupspor 0.2 and 4.0. The Poisson model expects 2.1 + 1.0 = 3.1 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 83% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Fethiyespor · 63%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 60%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 83%: the model expects 3.1 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 70%. In 1X2: Fethiyespor have the highest probability (63%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 60% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Fethiyespor — last game: Away to 1461 Trabzon FK (1-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Eyupspor — last game: Away to Amed (1-5) they had 20% of the shots (5 to 20, on target 2-7) and 44% possession. From 2 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 5 from 7 on target. 🟥 Red card on 90′ for Amed (S. Ballet): the opponent played with ten for ~1 minutes, which changes the picture of the game. 30′–45′: under 75% of the pressure → conceded on 35′, 42′. 45′–60′: under 95% of the pressure → conceded on 52′. 76′–90′: under 79% of the pressure → conceded on 83′. Over the last 5 they averaged 38% of the shots and 33% of the shots on target. They turn 6% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 59% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 4. Red cards: 1 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.