Enisey v Nizhny Novgorod: analysis and our pick
Cup · today 10:00 · Yenisei Arena. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Enisey looking for a response
Enisey have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–3 away defeat at Leningradets and a 0–3 away defeat at Ska-khabarovsk. Nizhny Novgorod have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 4–0 home win over Arsenal Tula and a 1–0 away win at FC UFA.
The head-to-head favours Enisey
In the last 5 meetings: 2 wins for Enisey, 2 draws, 1 for Nizhny Novgorod, with 2.8 goals a game. Most recently: Nizhny Novgorod 5–0 Enisey (10 Oct 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 40%. Enisey score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game, Nizhny Novgorod 3.2 and 0.2. The Poisson model expects 1.1 + 1.9 = 3.0 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 81% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Nizhny Novgorod · 56%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 57%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 81%: the model expects 3.0 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 90%. In 1X2: Nizhny Novgorod have the highest probability (56%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 57% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Enisey — last game: Away to Leningradets (0-3) they had 50% of the shots (10 to 10, on target 2-4) and 50% possession. From 2 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 3 from 4 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 59% of the shots and 63% of the shots on target (on top in 3 of 5). They turn 20% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 144% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 4. Nizhny Novgorod — last game: Against Arsenal Tula (4-0) they had 75% of the shots (12 to 4, on target 9-4) and 64% possession. From 9 shots on target they scored 4, the defence faced 4 shots on target and held (no goals). Over the last 5 they averaged 72% of the shots and 75% of the shots on target (on top in 5 of 5). They turn 48% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 9% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 2 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.