Cruzeiro U17 v Corinthians U17: analysis and our pick

Corinthians U17 have a chance to respond

Cruzeiro U17 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–3 away defeat at Corinthians U17 and a 3–0 home win over Atlético Mineiro U17. Corinthians U17 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–0 home win over Cruzeiro U17 and a 1–1 home draw with RB Bragantino U17.

The head-to-head favours Corinthians U17

In the last 3 meetings: 1 win for Cruzeiro U17, 0 draws, 2 for Corinthians U17, with 3.7 goals a game. Most recently: Corinthians U17 3–0 Cruzeiro U17 (31 Oct 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 60%. Cruzeiro U17 score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game, Corinthians U17 1.6 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.5 = 2.9 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 79% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Corinthians U17 · 39%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 55%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 79%: the model expects 2.9 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 90%. In 1X2: Corinthians U17 have the highest probability (39%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 55% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Cruzeiro U17 — last game: Away to Fluminense U17 (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Corinthians U17 — last game: Against Flamengo RJ U17 (3-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots..