Brodarac U19 v Jedinstvo U. U19: analysis and our pick

Brodarac U19 looking for a response

Brodarac U19 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 3–1 away win at Partizan U19 and a 3–3 home draw with TSC U19. Jedinstvo U. U19 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 2–4 home defeat to Sp. Subotica U19 and a 1–2 away defeat at Usce U19.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 100%, Over 2.5 95%, both teams scored 80%. Brodarac U19 score 2.2 and concede 3.6 a game, Jedinstvo U. U19 1.0 and 3.0. The Poisson model expects 2.5 + 2.3 = 4.8 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 96% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Brodarac U19 · 44%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 86%). Most likely score: 2–2.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 96%: the model expects 4.8 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 100%. In 1X2: Brodarac U19 have the highest probability (44%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 86% from the same lambdas. 2–2 is the most likely score (7%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Brodarac U19 — last game: Against Mladost Lucani U19 (4-6) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Jedinstvo U. U19 — last game: Against Sp. Subotica U19 (2-4) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.