Wigan Athletic U21 v Sheffield United U21: analysis and our pick

Sheffield United U21 have a chance to respond

Wigan Athletic U21 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–3 home defeat to Bolton Wanderers Res. and a 2–2 away draw with Hull City U21. Sheffield United U21 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at West Ham United U21 and a 0–1 home defeat to Fleetwood Town U21.

The head-to-head favours Sheffield United U21

In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Wigan Athletic U21, 0 draws, 4 for Sheffield United U21, with 3.8 goals a game. Most recently: Sheffield United U21 3–2 Wigan Athletic U21 (17 Feb 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 80%, both teams scored 80%. Wigan Athletic U21 score 2.6 and concede 2.4 a game, Sheffield United U21 1.8 and 0.8. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8 goals.

Our pick

Over 1.5 · 91% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Sheffield United U21 · 50%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 74%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Over 1.5 at 91%: the model expects 3.8 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 95%. In 1X2: Sheffield United U21 have the highest probability (50%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 74% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Sheffield United U21 — last game: Against Fleetwood Town U21 (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..