Torreense W v SL Benfica W: analysis and our pick
1a Divisão - Women · yesterday 21:45 · Estadio Manuel Marques. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Torreense W in good form
Torreense W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Sparta Praha W and a 3–0 away win at Sporting Braga W. SL Benfica W have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–3 away defeat at Arsenal W and a 4–1 home win over Sporting CP W.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 90%, both teams scored 50%. Torreense W score 3.8 and concede 1.2 a game, SL Benfica W 2.0 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 2.4 + 1.6 = 4.0 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 92% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Torreense W · 55%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 76%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 92%: the model expects 4.0 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 95%. In 1X2: Torreense W have the highest probability (55%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 76% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (8%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Torreense W — last game: Away to Sparta Praha W (2-2) they had 47% of the shots (15 to 17, on target 8-3) and 48% possession. From 8 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 2 from 3 on target. Over the last 2 they averaged 55% of the shots and 73% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 2). They turn 38% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 50% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 1. SL Benfica W — last game: Away to Arsenal W (0-3) they had 14% of the shots (5 to 30, on target 2-14) and 36% possession. From 2 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 3 from 14 on target. 0′–15′: under 100% of the pressure → the defence held. 15′–30′: under 71% of the pressure → the defence held. 30′–45′: under 93% of the pressure → conceded on 39′. Over the last 3 they averaged 24% of the shots and 21% of the shots on target. They turn 29% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 27% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.