PSPS v Bhayangkara FC: analysis and our pick
League Cup Indonesia · yesterday 14:00 · Kaharudin Nasution Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
PSPS in good form
PSPS have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Bekasi City and a 3–2 away win at Persikad Depok FC. Bhayangkara FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 0–2 away defeat at Java United and a 0–0 home draw with PSM Makassar.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 65%. PSPS score 2.2 and concede 1.0 a game, Bhayangkara FC 1.2 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.1 = 3.1 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 83% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · PSPS · 57%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 60%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 83%: the model expects 3.1 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 85%. In 1X2: PSPS have the highest probability (57%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 60% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
PSPS — last game: Against PSMS Medan (2-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.