Groningen U21 v Cambuur U21: analysis and our pick
U21 Divisie 1 · yesterday 15:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Cambuur U21 have a chance to respond
Groningen U21 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 4–2 home win over Willem II U21 and a 0–0 away draw with Willem II U21. Cambuur U21 have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 0–2 away defeat at Feyenoord U21 and a 0–1 away defeat at De Graafschap U21.
The head-to-head favours Groningen U21
In the last 5 meetings: 3 wins for Groningen U21, 0 draws, 2 for Cambuur U21, with 3.6 goals a game. Most recently: Groningen U21 3–1 Cambuur U21 (18 Apr 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 80%, both teams scored 65%. Groningen U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game, Cambuur U21 2.2 and 2.2. The Poisson model expects 2.1 + 1.9 = 4.0 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 92% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Groningen U21 · 44%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 76%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 92%: the model expects 4.0 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 90%. In 1X2: Groningen U21 have the highest probability (44%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 76% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (8%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.