Go Ahead Eagles U21 v Willem II U21: analysis and our pick
U21 Divisie 1 · yesterday 14:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Go Ahead Eagles U21 looking for a response
Go Ahead Eagles U21 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–2 away defeat at PEC Zwolle U21 and a 1–1 home draw with Twente / Heracles U21. Willem II U21 have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–4 away defeat at Groningen U21 and a 0–0 home draw with Groningen U21.
The head-to-head favours Willem II U21
In the last 2 meetings: 0 wins for Go Ahead Eagles U21, 0 draws, 2 for Willem II U21, with 2.5 goals a game. Most recently: Go Ahead Eagles U21 0–2 Willem II U21 (15 Nov 2025).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 65%. Go Ahead Eagles U21 score 0.4 and concede 2.8 a game, Willem II U21 1.4 and 2.2. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 2.2 = 3.5 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 88% (two goals or more). 1X2: Away win (2) · Willem II U21 · 57%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 69%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 88%: the model expects 3.5 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 90%. In 1X2: Willem II U21 have the highest probability (57%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 69% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.