Feyenoord v Inter: analysis and our pick
UEFA Champions League · tomorrow 22:00 · Stadion Feijenoord. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Inter have a chance to respond
Feyenoord have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Fortuna Sittard and a 1–1 away draw with PSV Eindhoven. Inter have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–3 away defeat at AC Milan and a 2–0 away win at Venezia.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Feyenoord score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game, Inter 1.8 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.5 = 3.2 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 84% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Feyenoord · 41%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 61%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 84%: the model expects 3.2 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 90%. In 1X2: Feyenoord have the highest probability (41%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 61% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Feyenoord — last game: Against Fortuna Sittard (1-1) they had 63% of the shots (15 to 9, on target 6-2) and 69% possession. From 6 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 1 from 2 on target. 0′–15′: pressed with 89% of the pressure → no goal. 45′–60′: pressed with 90% of the pressure → goal on 59′. Over the last 5 they averaged 48% of the shots and 51% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 5). They turn 27% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 25% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2. Inter — last game: Away to AC Milan (1-3) they had 73% of the shots (19 to 7, on target 8-4) and 57% possession. From 8 shots on target they scored 1, conceded 3 from 4 on target. Over the last 5 they averaged 67% of the shots and 65% of the shots on target (on top in 4 of 5). They turn 26% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 28% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 2 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.