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Over 1.5 + Poisson tomorrow: North Korea U17 W v United States W U17 at 99%

Daily Over 1.5 pick with Poisson + Dixon-Coles (rho = −0.13). The lambdas come from season averages, the last 10 home/away, the last 5 and the head-to-head. The 5 strongest matches of the day.

1. North Korea U17 W – United States W U17 (World Cup - U17 - Women, 17:00)

Home λ 3.15 | away λ 3.55 | expected goals 6.70. Over 1.5: 99% | Over 2.5: 96% | BTTS: 93%. North Korea U17 W 5.6 goals/game at home, United States W U17 3.6 away (last 10). Season: 4.3-1.3 / 8.3-1.3 for-against. Most likely score 3-3.

2. Farul Constanţa W – Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W (Liga 1 Feminin, 13:00)

Home λ 3.76 | away λ 2.45 | expected goals 6.21. Over 1.5: 99% | Over 2.5: 95% | BTTS: 89%. Farul Constanţa W 6.0 goals/game at home, Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 3.4 away (last 10). Season: 10.8-1.3 / 4.8-0.8 for-against. H2H average 2.0 goals (5 games). Most likely score 3-2.

3. Khovd – Khovd Western (Premier League, 10:00)

Home λ 3.45 | away λ 2.61 | expected goals 6.06. Over 1.5: 99% | Over 2.5: 94% | BTTS: 90%. Khovd 2.5 goals/game at home, Khovd Western 1.8 away (last 10). Season: 3.0-2.8 / 1.8-5.5 for-against. H2H average 4.3 goals (4 games). Most likely score 3-2.

4. Ulaangom City – Amtat FC (Premier League, 07:00)

Home λ 2.50 | away λ 2.99 | expected goals 5.49. Over 1.5: 98% | Over 2.5: 91% | BTTS: 88%. Ulaangom City 1.3 goals/game at home, Amtat FC 1.6 away (last 10). Season: 0.7-3.3 / 1.6-4.2 for-against. Most likely score 2-2.

5. Lillehammer – Brumunddal (3. Division - Girone 6, 13:00)

Home λ 4.53 | away λ 1.03 | expected goals 5.56. Over 1.5: 98% | Over 2.5: 91% | BTTS: 64%. Lillehammer 4.0 goals/game at home, Brumunddal 0.9 away (last 10). Season: 4.3-1.0 / 0.9-5.3 for-against. H2H average 5.0 goals (3 games). Most likely score 4-1.

The model is statistical: probabilities, not guarantees. The “Poisson Over 1.5” filter on MyGoal90 shows ✓/✗ when each match ends. 21+ · Please gamble responsibly.

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.