Olimpia W v Santa Fe W: analysis and our pick
CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · Saturday 31 October 22:00 · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Olimpia W looking for a response
Olimpia W have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 3–4 away defeat at Santa Fe W and a 0–1 away defeat at Cruzeiro W. Santa Fe W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 4–3 home win over Olimpia W and a 1–2 away defeat at Corinthians W.
An even head-to-head
In the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Olimpia W, 0 draws, 1 for Santa Fe W, with 5.0 goals a game. Most recently: Santa Fe W 4–3 Olimpia W (30 Oct 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Olimpia W score 1.0 and concede 1.6 a game, Santa Fe W 2.0 and 2.6. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Over 1.5 · 85% (two goals or more). 1X2: Home win (1) · Olimpia W · 38%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 63%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Over 1.5 at 85%: the model expects 3.3 goals and the two teams' recent games went Over 1.5 in 75%. In 1X2: Olimpia W have the highest probability (38%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Olimpia W — last game: Away to Santa Fe W (3-4) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 Red card on 58′ for Olimpia W (Mariana Zamorano Cortes): they played with ten for ~32 minutes, which changes the picture of the game. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 1 theirs. Santa Fe W — last game: Against Olimpia W (4-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 Red card on 58′ for Olimpia W (Mariana Zamorano Cortes): the opponent played with ten for ~32 minutes, which changes the picture of the game. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.