Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV: analysis and our pick

Zulte Waregem looking for a response

Zulte Waregem have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–3 away defeat at RAAL La Louvière and a 3–0 home win over Seraing United. Club Brugge KV have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 3–2 home win over St. Truiden and a 3–0 home win over Lens.

The head-to-head favours Club Brugge KV

In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Zulte Waregem, 0 draws, 4 for Club Brugge KV, with 3.2 goals a game. Most recently: Club Brugge KV 4–3 Zulte Waregem (24 Jan 2026).

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 40%. Zulte Waregem score 0.8 and concede 2.0 a game, Club Brugge KV 3.0 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.9 = 3.2 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Club Brugge KV · 50%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 62%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Club Brugge KV have the highest probability (50%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 62% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Zulte Waregem — last game: Away to RAAL La Louvière (0-3) they had 52% of the shots (15 to 14, on target 6-8) and 55% possession. From 6 shots on target they scored 0, conceded 3 from 8 on target. 0′–15′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → no goal. Over the last 4 they averaged 48% of the shots and 36% of the shots on target. They turn 8% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 43% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 4. Red cards: 1 theirs. Club Brugge KV — last game: Against St. Truiden (3-2) they had 65% of the shots (11 to 6, on target 5-2) and 52% possession. From 5 shots on target they scored 3, conceded 2 from 2 on target. 15′–30′: under 75% of the pressure → the defence held. 30′–45′: pressed with 75% of the pressure → goal on 41′, 43′. 60′–75′: pressed with 88% of the pressure → goal on 75′. Over the last 4 they averaged 43% of the shots and 49% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 4). They turn 70% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 29% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 2.