Konyaspor v Galatasaray: analysis and our pick
Süper Lig · tomorrow 19:00 · Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Galatasaray have a chance to respond
Konyaspor have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Gençlerbirliği S.K. and a 0–1 away defeat at Amed. Galatasaray have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over Fenerbahce and a 4–2 away win at Lille.
The head-to-head favours Galatasaray
In the last 5 meetings: 1 win for Konyaspor, 1 draw, 3 for Galatasaray, with 2.6 goals a game. Most recently: Konyaspor 2–0 Galatasaray (21 Feb 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 60%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 50%. Konyaspor score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game, Galatasaray 2.2 and 1.6. The Poisson model expects 1.2 + 1.6 = 2.7 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Galatasaray · 45%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 77%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Galatasaray have the highest probability (45%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 77% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Konyaspor — last game: Against Gençlerbirliği S.K. (2-0) they had 73% of the shots (16 to 6, on target 7-2) and 52% possession. From 7 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 0 from 2 on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 51% of the shots and 67% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 4). They turn 13% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 13% of theirs. Galatasaray — last game: Against Fenerbahce (2-1) they had 92% of the shots (22 to 2, on target 7-2) and 63% possession. From 7 shots on target they scored 2, conceded 1 from 2 on target. 15′–30′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → goal on 29′. 30′–45′: pressed with 80% of the pressure → goal on 44′. 45′–60′: pressed with 100% of the pressure → no goal. Over the last 5 they averaged 55% of the shots and 52% of the shots on target (on top in 2 of 5). They turn 38% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 30% of theirs. The defence kept a clean sheet 1 time(s) despite facing 3+ shots on target. Conceded 2+ in 2. Red cards: 1 theirs.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.