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Match analysis · Thursday 29 October

Kattaqurgon v Olimpik-Mobiuz: analysis and our pick

Pro League A · Thursday 29 October 12:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK2 · Olimpik-Mobiuz43%
GOALS MARKETOver 2.5Three goals or more · 69%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–110%

Kattaqurgon in good form

Kattaqurgon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–0 away win at Yaypan and a 4–4 home draw with Lochin. Olimpik-Mobiuz have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 4–2 home win over Yaypan and a 2–2 away draw with Respublika FA.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Kattaqurgon score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game, Olimpik-Mobiuz 2.2 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.6 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Olimpik-Mobiuz · 43%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 69%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Olimpik-Mobiuz have the highest probability (43%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 69% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Kattaqurgon — last game: Away to Yaypan (1-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.