News › Match analysis
Match analysis · Thursday 29 October

GVVV Veenendaal v Noordwijk: analysis and our pick

KNVB Beker · Thursday 29 October 21:00 · Sportpark Panhuis. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK1 · GVVV Veenendaal37%
GOALS MARKETOver 2.5Three goals or more · 65%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–111%

GVVV Veenendaal in good form

GVVV Veenendaal have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–0 home win over Koninklijke HFC and a 1–2 away defeat at HHC. Noordwijk have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–0 away win at Rijnvogels and a 4–0 home win over Gemert.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 30%. GVVV Veenendaal score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game, Noordwijk 2.2 and 0.4. The Poisson model expects 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.3 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · GVVV Veenendaal · 37%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 65%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

GVVV Veenendaal have the highest probability (37%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 65% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

GVVV Veenendaal — last game: Away to HHC (1-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1. Noordwijk — last game: Against Gemert (4-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..

Live scores   All news ›

This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.