CS Sfaxien v ES Tunis: analysis and our pick
Ligue 1 · Thursday 29 October 15:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
ES Tunis have a chance to respond
CS Sfaxien have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over AFAD and a 1–1 away draw with AFAD. ES Tunis have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–0 home win over Asswehly and a 0–1 away defeat at Asswehly.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 55%, Over 2.5 30%, both teams scored 40%. CS Sfaxien score 1.0 and concede 0.6 a game, ES Tunis 1.4 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.0 + 0.9 = 1.9 goals.
Our pick
Draw (X) · 35%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 71%). Most likely score: 0–0.
Why these picks?
The 1-X-2 probabilities are close and the draw comes out on top in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 71% from the same lambdas. 0–0 is the most likely score (17%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
CS Sfaxien — last game: Away to AFAD (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.