Chrobry Głogów v Polonia Bytom: analysis and our pick
Cup · Thursday 29 October 18:30 · Stadion Chrobrego. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Chrobry Głogów looking for a response
Chrobry Głogów have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–0 away draw with Stal Mielec and a 2–3 away defeat at Polonia Bytom. Polonia Bytom have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at Unia Skierniewice and a 3–2 home win over Chrobry Głogów.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 45%, both teams scored 50%. Chrobry Głogów score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game, Polonia Bytom 1.4 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.6 = 3.0 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Polonia Bytom · 43%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 82%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Polonia Bytom have the highest probability (43%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 82% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Chrobry Głogów — last game: Away to Polonia Bytom (2-3) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2. Polonia Bytom — last game: Against Chrobry Głogów (3-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 2.
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