Austria Wien W v Juventus W: analysis and our pick

Austria Wien W in good form

Austria Wien W have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Rheindorf Altach W and a 3–0 away win at St. Pölten W. Juventus W have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–5 home defeat to Roma W and a 2–4 home defeat to Como 1907 W.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 50%. Austria Wien W score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game, Juventus W 2.2 and 2.4. The Poisson model expects 2.2 + 1.4 = 3.6 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Austria Wien W · 54%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 70%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Austria Wien W have the highest probability (54%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 70% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (10%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Austria Wien W — last game: Against Rheindorf Altach W (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 61% of the shots and 56% of the shots on target (on top in 1 of 4). They turn 200% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 50% of theirs. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents. Juventus W — last game: Against Roma W (2-5) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 4 they averaged 45% of the shots and 67% of the shots on target. They turn 225% of their shots on target into goals, opponents 400% of theirs. Conceded 2+ in 2.