Al-Kawkab v Al Jubail: analysis and our pick
Division 2 · Thursday 29 October 19:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Al Jubail have a chance to respond
Al-Kawkab have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–1 home win over Al Arabi SC and a 2–1 away win at Al Najoom. Al Jubail have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Al Najoom and a 0–0 home draw with Jubbah.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. Al-Kawkab score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game, Al Jubail 0.6 and 1.8. The Poisson model expects 1.9 + 1.2 = 3.1 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Al-Kawkab · 52%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 82%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Al-Kawkab have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 82% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (12%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.