Tokyo Verdy Beleza W v Cerezo Osaka W: analysis and our pick
WE League · tomorrow 11:00 · Tama City Athletic Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W in good form
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 4–1 home win over Elfen Saitama W and a 3–2 away win at Sanfrecce Hiroshima W. Cerezo Osaka W have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 2–1 away win at Omiya Ardija Ventus W and a 2–2 home draw with Nojima Stella W.
The head-to-head favours Tokyo Verdy Beleza W
In the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Tokyo Verdy Beleza W, 1 draw, 0 for Cerezo Osaka W, with 3.6 goals a game. Most recently: Tokyo Verdy Beleza W 2–1 Cerezo Osaka W (2 Nov 2025).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 60%, both teams scored 65%. Tokyo Verdy Beleza W score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game, Cerezo Osaka W 1.6 and 1.2. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.3 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Tokyo Verdy Beleza W · 52%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Tokyo Verdy Beleza W — last game: Away to Sanfrecce Hiroshima W (3-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.