Suwon FMC W v Boeun Sangmu W: analysis and our pick
WK-League · tomorrow 12:00 · Suwon Civic Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Suwon FMC W in good form
Suwon FMC W have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–2 away defeat at Changnyeong W and a 1–0 away win at Gumi Sportstoto W. Boeun Sangmu W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Seoul W and a 1–0 away win at Gyeongju W.
The head-to-head favours Suwon FMC W
In the last 5 meetings: 4 wins for Suwon FMC W, 1 draw, 0 for Boeun Sangmu W, with 2.6 goals a game. Most recently: Suwon FMC W 3–1 Boeun Sangmu W (14 Aug 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 70%, Over 2.5 45%, both teams scored 45%. Suwon FMC W score 1.0 and concede 1.0 a game, Boeun Sangmu W 0.6 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.6 + 0.8 = 2.4 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Suwon FMC W · 54%. Goals market: Under 2.5 (Two goals at most, 58%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Suwon FMC W have the highest probability (54%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Under 2.5 at 58% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.