Slovan Liberec II v Čáslav: analysis and our pick
3. liga - CFL B · tomorrow 12:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Čáslav have a chance to respond
Slovan Liberec II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 5–1 home win over Horní Ředice and a 2–1 away win at Hradec Králové II. Čáslav have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–4 away defeat at Mladá Boleslav II and a 2–3 home defeat to Jablonec II.
The head-to-head favours Slovan Liberec II
In the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Slovan Liberec II, 0 draws, 0 for Čáslav, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Čáslav 0–1 Slovan Liberec II (2 Apr 2023).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 60%. Slovan Liberec II score 1.8 and concede 2.0 a game, Čáslav 1.8 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 2.5 + 1.9 = 4.4 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Slovan Liberec II · 50%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 81%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Slovan Liberec II have the highest probability (50%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 81% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (7%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Čáslav — last game: Away to Sokol Zápy (3-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.