Santa Rita v Cruzeiro PB: analysis and our pick
Paraibano 2 · tomorrow 00:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Santa Rita in good form
Santa Rita have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 9–1 home win over Spartax and a 6–0 away win at Spartax. Cruzeiro PB have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 1–1 away draw with Auto Esporte and a 1–1 home draw with Auto Esporte.
The head-to-head favours Santa Rita
In the last 1 meetings: 1 win for Santa Rita, 0 draws, 0 for Cruzeiro PB, with 1.0 goals a game. Most recently: Cruzeiro PB 0–1 Santa Rita (19 Sept 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 65%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 45%. Santa Rita score 3.4 and concede 0.6 a game, Cruzeiro PB 3.2 and 1.0. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.3 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Santa Rita · 52%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 63%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Santa Rita have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Cruzeiro PB — last game: Against Picuiense (9-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.