Příbram II v Benešov: analysis and our pick
3. liga - CFL A · tomorrow 11:30 · SK Tochovice - trava. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Benešov have a chance to respond
Příbram II have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 2–0 away win at Povltava FA and a 2–2 away draw with Jiskra Domažlice. Benešov have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–1 home win over Bohemians 1905 II and a 1–4 home defeat to Admira Praha.
The head-to-head favours Benešov
In the last 4 meetings: 1 win for Příbram II, 1 draw, 2 for Benešov, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Příbram II 0–2 Benešov (21 Jul 2024).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 90%, Over 2.5 55%, both teams scored 65%. Příbram II score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game, Benešov 0.8 and 2.2. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.3 = 2.6 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Příbram II · 35%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 75%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Příbram II have the highest probability (35%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 75% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Příbram II — last game: Away to Jiskra Domažlice (2-2) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.