Frosinone U20 v Virtus Entella U19: analysis and our pick

Virtus Entella U19 have a chance to respond

Frosinone U20 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 0–1 away defeat at Frosinone and a 2–1 away win at Sassuolo U20. Virtus Entella U19 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Vicenza U19 and a 1–1 away draw with Sudtirol U19.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 95%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 90%. Frosinone U20 score 1.0 and concede 1.6 a game, Virtus Entella U19 2.0 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.3 goals.

Our pick

Away win (2) · Virtus Entella U19 · 47%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 63%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Virtus Entella U19 have the highest probability (47%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 63% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Frosinone U20 — last game: Away to Frosinone (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Virtus Entella U19 — last game: Away to Sudtirol U19 (1-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots..