Cremonese U20 v Benevento U19: analysis and our pick
Coppa Italia Primavera · tomorrow 12:00 · Campo Amadio Soldi. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Cremonese U20 looking for a response
Cremonese U20 have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, including a 1–2 home defeat to Bologna U20 and a 1–6 away defeat at Fiorentina U20. Benevento U19 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 5–2 home win over Avellino U19 and a 2–2 away draw with Monopoli U19.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 85%, Over 2.5 75%, both teams scored 60%. Cremonese U20 score 1.0 and concede 3.2 a game, Benevento U19 3.2 and 1.4. The Poisson model expects 1.5 + 2.3 = 3.7 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Benevento U19 · 54%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 72%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Benevento U19 have the highest probability (54%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 72% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.