Corinthians W v Santa Fe W: analysis and our pick
CONMEBOL Libertadores Femenina · tomorrow 02:00 · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Corinthians W in good form
Corinthians W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5, including a 5–0 home win over Dragonas IDV W and a 5–1 away win at Santa Fe W. Santa Fe W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, including a 2–2 away draw with Palmeiras W and a 1–5 home defeat to Corinthians W.
The head-to-head favours Corinthians W
In the last 3 meetings: 3 wins for Corinthians W, 0 draws, 0 for Santa Fe W, with 3.0 goals a game. Most recently: Santa Fe W 1–5 Corinthians W (21 Oct 2026).
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 70%, both teams scored 65%. Corinthians W score 4.0 and concede 0.4 a game, Santa Fe W 2.0 and 2.8. The Poisson model expects 2.8 + 1.0 = 3.8 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Corinthians W · 73%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 73%). Most likely score: 2–1.
Why these picks?
Corinthians W have the highest probability (73%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 73% from the same lambdas. 2–1 is the most likely score (9%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.