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Văn Hiến v Xuan Thien Phu Tho: analysis and our pick

V.League 2 · tomorrow 12:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.

OUR PICK1 · Văn Hiến58%
GOALS MARKETOver 1.5At least two goals · 83%
CORRECT-SCORE LEAN1–111%

Xuan Thien Phu Tho have a chance to respond

Văn Hiến have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–2 home win over Dong Thap and a 0–3 away defeat at Lam Dong. Xuan Thien Phu Tho have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 2–3 home defeat to Pho Hien and a 0–2 away defeat at Than Quang Ninh.

No recent head-to-head

The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.

What the numbers say about goals

In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 45%. Văn Hiến score 1.0 and concede 1.2 a game, Xuan Thien Phu Tho 0.8 and 2.8. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.1 = 3.1 goals.

Our pick

Home win (1) · Văn Hiến · 58%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 83%). Most likely score: 1–1.

Why these picks?

Văn Hiến have the highest probability (58%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 83% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.

A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.

How hard they pressed lately

Xuan Thien Phu Tho — last game: Away to Hung Yen (1-8) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Conceded 2+ in 1.

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This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.