Sardor Tursunzoda v Istaravshan: analysis and our pick
Vysshaya Liga · tomorrow 12:30. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Istaravshan have a chance to respond
Sardor Tursunzoda have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 1–1 home draw with Eskhata and a 0–2 away defeat at Barki Tajik. Istaravshan have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–1 home defeat to Ravshan and a 0–1 home defeat to CSKA Pomir.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 80%, Over 2.5 40%, both teams scored 65%. Sardor Tursunzoda score 2.2 and concede 2.2 a game, Istaravshan 0.6 and 2.0. The Poisson model expects 2.0 + 1.3 = 3.3 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · Sardor Tursunzoda · 52%. Goals market: Over 2.5 (Three goals or more, 64%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Sardor Tursunzoda have the highest probability (52%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 2.5 at 64% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (11%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Istaravshan — last game: Against CSKA Pomir (0-1) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. 🟥 There was a red card (CSKA Pomir). Over the last 1 they averaged null% of the shots.. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.