PSS Sleman v Pusamania Borneo: analysis and our pick
Liga 1 · tomorrow 10:30 · Maguwoharjo Stadium. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
PSS Sleman looking for a response
PSS Sleman have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, including a 1–2 away defeat at Persik Kediri and a 2–2 away draw with Persebaya Surabaya. Pusamania Borneo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, including a 3–1 away win at Tainan City and a 2–0 home win over Yangon United.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 65%, both teams scored 60%. PSS Sleman score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game, Pusamania Borneo 1.4 and 0.6. The Poisson model expects 1.4 + 1.3 = 2.7 goals.
Our pick
Home win (1) · PSS Sleman · 36%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 77%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
PSS Sleman have the highest probability (36%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 77% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (14%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
How hard they pressed lately
Pusamania Borneo — last game: Against Yangon United (2-0) they had null% of the shots (0 to 0, on target 0-0). No shots on target, faced no shots on target. Over the last 2 they averaged null% of the shots.. Red cards: 0 theirs, 1 for opponents.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.