Portimonense U23 v Marítimo U23: analysis and our pick
Liga Revelação U23 · tomorrow 13:00. Form, head-to-head, goals — plus the pick, the goals market and the most likely score from MyGoal90's model.
Portimonense U23 looking for a response
Portimonense U23 have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–4 away defeat at Rio Ave U23 and a 1–2 home defeat to Academico Viseu U23. Marítimo U23 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5, including a 0–1 home defeat to Famalicão U23 and a 3–1 away win at Sporting Braga U23.
No recent head-to-head
The two sides have not met recently; the view rests on form and the model.
What the numbers say about goals
In the two teams' recent games: Over 1.5 75%, Over 2.5 45%, both teams scored 50%. Portimonense U23 score 0.2 and concede 2.0 a game, Marítimo U23 1.0 and 1.8. The Poisson model expects 1.3 + 1.6 = 2.8 goals.
Our pick
Away win (2) · Marítimo U23 · 43%. Goals market: Over 1.5 (At least two goals, 79%). Most likely score: 1–1.
Why these picks?
Marítimo U23 have the highest probability (43%) in the Poisson/Dixon-Coles model, which weighs season, last 10, last 5 and head-to-head. Over 1.5 at 79% from the same lambdas. 1–1 is the most likely score (13%). Probabilities, not guarantees.
A statistical view from MyGoal90's data — ✓/✗ after the match. 21+ · Play responsibly.
This article was written automatically from MyGoal90's data (API-Football, odds, Betfair Exchange). Nothing is copied from any outlet.